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Import shocks and voting behavior in Europe revisited / Annika Backes, Steffen Müller ; editor: Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association
VerfasserBackes, Annika ; Müller, Steffen
KörperschaftLeibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle
ErschienenHalle (Saale), Germany : Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association, March 2024
Umfang1 Online-Ressource (III, 27 Seiten, 1,01 MB) : Diagramme
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Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 18-20
SpracheEnglisch
SerieIWH-Diskussionspapiere ; 2024, no. 8 (March 2024)
URNurn:nbn:de:gbv:3:2-1054633 
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Import shocks and voting behavior in Europe revisited [1.01 mb]
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We provide first evidence for the long-run causal impact that Chinese imports to European regions had on voting outcomes and revisit earlier estimates of the short-run impact for a methodological reason. The fringes of the political spectrum gained ground many years after the China shock plateaued and unlike an earlier study by Colantone and Stanig (2018b) we do not find any robust evidence for a short-run effect on far-right votes. Instead far-left and populist parties gained in the short run. We identify persistent long-run effects of import shocks on voting. These effects are biased towards populism and to a lesser extent to the far-right.